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Climate Studies




  • Water Vapor and climate
    • The goal of the research is to elucidate the role of water vapor in climate and climate change especially with regard to (i) water vapor feedback, (ii) the impact of vertical redistribution on this feedback and (iii) the broad aspects of the transport of this vapor.

    • To achieve these three goals, research is discussed in terms of two broad and connected areas. The first is concerned with research on ways of obtaining global water vapor data, particularly using existing and new satellite observations. The second phase of this research (and one definitely connected to the first) is concerned with application of the data to evaluate the hydrological cycle as it is predicted in climate models and observed in the real world.

    • This research involves analyses of two types of climate model simulations, AMIP II where the SSTs are specified and another involving simulations of coupled ocean atmospheric GCMs.

    • It is important to emphasize that this research is not merely about collecting water vapor data and comparison of these data to their model counterparts. Rather the research focuses on examining the sensitivity of important processes (such as radiative transfer, cloud processes among others) to water vapor and to examine how well these are treated in climate models.


  • Reanalysis Water Vapor Comparison
    • This presentation was given at the WCRP First International Conference on Reanalyses. The aim of the research was to compare the ECMWF and NCEP reanalysis water vapor fields with satellite observations. Water vapor concentrations as well as calculated brightness temperatures are compared with TOVS and MLS observations. Further research on this topic is anticipated.


  • AMIP II Experimental Subproject 3
    • The purpose of this experimental subproject is to calculate brightness temperatures for specific TOVS channels in the simulations of the AMIP II climate model comparison with a sampling strategy that approximates idealized satellite trajectories. These calculated brightness temperatures can then be compared to radiance data now being developed under NASA/NOAA TOVS pathfinder archives.


  • Parametrization of GCM Radiative transfer Codes
    • The purpose of this activity is to accelerate the computation of the radiative heating and cooling rates in vertically inhomogeneous atmospheres for use in global circulation models. The approach taken is based on adjoint-perturbations and leads to a semi-analytical result wherein the radiative transfer reduces to two multiplications and one addition per layer in a multi-layer model. Speedup factors of the order of 100 are attainable, while the error in the computed fluxes is less than 5%.


  • Climate Diagnostics


  • Climate Modelling
    • Although the study of atmospheric radiative transfer is the main interest in the Stephens Research group, this interest extends significantly into how radiative transfer processes affect the climatic evolution. This is a major application of radiative transfer modeling since radiative transfer processes enter so prominently into the genesis of climatic systems. That this is indeed the case is attested to by the fact that solar radiation near the top of atmosphere is partially transformed into other forms of energy that drive the general circulation. This conversion of energy is greatly affected by clouds that reflect much solar radiation back into space and simultaneously are good absorbers of IR. The episodic occurrence of clouds may be considered as a type of forcing that redistributes energy in time and space.

      To obtain at least a rudimentary understanding of how such forcing can affect climatic evolution, we have employed the relatively simple Lorentz model as a investigative tool. This model exhibits internal instability that causes the computer result to be quite unpredictable. This is desirable in as much as it captures a dominant characteristic of the real climate.



  • CloudSat
    • CloudSat is a satellite program designed to provide new observations of clouds and aerosols. The program will contribute in specific ways to these major climate change thrusts. (i) CloudSat will fulfill critical observational gaps that have been identified by various sectors of the climate community. (ii) CloudSat will provide a significant advance to our current understanding of a number of cloud and aerosol-related processes vital for understanding climate change

      Further Infomration is available from the CloudSat Home Page.

  • ECMWF Cloudiness and LITE
    • This research is an exploratory effort that seeks to test the realism of clouds predicted in the forecasts of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF). This is an important, challenging class of problem, and might be considered as an important "next step" in the assimilation of cloud satellite data in global models.

      This project impacts the public good and is of special interest because it lays the groundwork for introducing a significantly higher level of skill to existing forecasting models. By contrasting model predictions with real measurements, model shortcomings may be identified and addressed. The synergy of models with measurements is considered to be an essential paradigm shift toward the improvement of forecasting products.

      While the technology exists to further this effort, the possibilities have remained largely unexplored. The study places further emphasis on the need to include active remote sensing instrumentation on the space platform, and addresses the role of CloudSat in this capacity.



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